If you’re in New York: Luiz Pinto and I speak at Columbia University’s Institute for Latin American Studies (ILAS) on post-Chavez Venezuela, 12-noon, Thursday, 9 October:
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Recent Posts
- 1st “Berlin Energy Forum” 21 May | A monthly disruption of the local ‘energy echo chamber.’ April 22, 2024
- Jerusalem Post asked me: “Why can’t Israel make unilateral decisions on its multifront war?” April 19, 2024
- New “CEE Nuclear Energy Network” holds 1st policy consultation with Polish officials & experts. April 14, 2024
- My Sky News: Why is oil up? | If Kyiv hit Russian oil ports, what would happen? April 11, 2024
- Why USA alarm? [PL/EN] Analityk: Ukraina pokazała, że może zakłócić eksport rosyjskiej ropy przez porty /Analyst: Ukraine has shown it could disrupt Russian ports exporting oil April 2, 2024
- My Newsweek: 1) Ukraine could hit Russian oil exports-but hasn’t. 2) Gen. Hodges is right–USA stand regrettable. March 30, 2024
- My DW, VoA & Newsweek interviews: “Ukrainian drones cripple Russian refineries.” Thoughts on strategy, impacts and history March 22, 2024
- My Kyiv Post Interview: “Russia Lost 12% of Its Oil Refinery Capacity in a Day: What’s the Impact?” March 16, 2024
- “Is Europe winning the energy war?” Roundtable views: (i) Russian oil-price cap failing; anti-trust tax could help. (ii) Green-energy inflation & subsidies plus low oil & gas development disarm Europe. November 5, 2023
- “Is Europe Winning the Energy War?” Berlin Energy Roundtable -24 Oct.- Invitation October 15, 2023
- My SkyNews: Saudis can & will limit oil price before tanking customers’ economies. Russian cap has had impact; but it’s lessening. September 30, 2023
- My EuroNews-Serbia: Will oil hit $100? Who suffers? Saudis’ market logic. IEA says Q4 tight. Russia oil-price-cap impact. September 26, 2023
- Our TRT-London: Finland’s new nuclear plant helped slash electricity prices, while EU states going all-renewable face long-term highs. June 16, 2023
- My Asharq: Russian oil to India, 40% of imports, ousting traditional suppliers. Borell wanted resale into EU stopped. OPEC: Investments must surge before Q3/Q4 Asian demand-&-price rise. May 23, 2023
- My Asharq with Saudi expert: MENA green hydrogen exports will be inefficient & counter-productive for climate. Renewables still almost “nonexistent”, nuclear is pragmatic. April 14, 2023
- My Sky News: Germany-Mauritania green hydrogen plan is complex, costly & slow. Not mentioned: Mauritania & Senegal to soon export LNG. April 1, 2023
- EU/G7’s Russian diesel price cap is on. Now, as prices rise, Ukraine’s allies can squeeze Putin’s revenues, short of a price spike. Putin’s no longer decides his business terms. February 5, 2023
- My Asharq: EU & G7 debate Russian oil-products’ caps. Two-caps needed by 5 February. High impact likely later this year. January 29, 2023
- My Kyiv Post | Opinion Exclusive: “Reflections on Scholz’s Leopards’ Stalling Strategy” January 27, 2023
- My Asharq: Will Iraq be able to supply Germany natural gas? Not likely soon: Iraq has risky 40 % reliance on Iran gas, just like Germany’s was on Russia. Also, Iraq announced the same contract to capture flared gas 3X in six years, with little progress. January 13, 2023
- My Al Jazeera | Germany takes first USA LNG | Putin suffers Winter setback in energy war vs EU, likely lasting to 2026-27 | This is a 2nd front of Russia’s failing Ukraine War. January 6, 2023
- My DW live: Russia ban on oil sales to price-cap nations has no significant effect. Russia will be selling less oil over time & sanctions complicate shipping insurance. Meanwhile, Ukraine-allies’ price cap encourages India & China to demand lower prices from Russia without officially joining cap. December 28, 2022
- My Al Jazeera: Putin’s decree banning oil sales under the cap is “a bit of bravado.” – The EU/USA can squeeze Russia by “stepwise lowering the cap” & “bringing other, new oil online.” December 28, 2022
- Roundtable, London asked us: “Is the US making a profit from the conflict in Ukraine?” — In my view, this complaint reflects Scholz & Macron’s continued longing to escape the USA’s transatlantic strategy towards Russia & China. December 14, 2022
- My Aljazeera [English] Today’s start: EU sanctions Russian imports & G7-EU price-cap. As USA planned: no market shock. December 5, 2022
- EU sets $60 Russian-oil-price cap. What now? [My Al Jazeera & Asharq (Blmbrg) interviews] December 4, 2022
- My Al Jazeera: EU debates where to set Russian oil price cap. Over time this price “will be lowered as [new oil] comes online,” shrinking Russia’s market. “The Americans just don’t want a shock removal.” November 30, 2022
- My Polish press interview: “Europe can replace Russian oil & gas by 2027” but “in war there are casualties” (Pl. & Eng.) November 29, 2022
- My Doha talk: Europe’s energy crisis: another front of Putin’s Ukraine War – & the GCC November 13, 2022
- My DW: Will the gas-price cap keep firms in Germany? BASF & German politicians’ years-long energy policies have collapsed. November 1, 2022
- Our TRT/Istanbul: Will Turkey be Russia’s new gas hub to Europe? Can Putin save his gas sector? What’s Erdogan’s game? October 19, 2022
- Our TRT London: Can Moldova escape Russian energy dependence? October 18, 2022
- My Al Jazeera: Costa, Sánchez & Scholz, in Berlin, demand Midcat gas pipe via France. They’ll confront Macron at EU Council, 20-21 Oct October 18, 2022
- Al Ghad/Cairo: Putin tempts Erdogan, “Take Nord Stream gas at a Turkish hub. Sell EU my gas. Forget NATO.” Putin’s ‘Gas Godfather’ games become pathetic. October 17, 2022
- Video | European Energy Crisis panel at Montenegro’s 2BS Forum, with Prof Alan Riley, me & moderator Jasmina Kos October 15, 2022
- Kyiv Post: “What to Expect in the Energy War? Interview with Expert Thomas O’Donnell” October 13, 2022
- My Al Jazeera: Washington picked a pointless, populist fight with the Saudis over OPEC+ cuts October 13, 2022
- Asharq TV: I debated Moscow expert Kirill Semyonov on the Nord Stream 1 & 2 explosions: “A suspect (Russia) cannot be an investigator.” October 5, 2022
- My Sky News: Are EU Measures vs the Russian Oil- & Gas-War Enough? October 5, 2022
- Financial Times quotes me: Germany embraced Russia’s energy for “strategic balancing” vs USA October 3, 2022
- My TVP, Warsaw: Assessing Energy Supplies in the EU’s Energy Crisis vs Russia. September 16, 2022
- My Al Jazeera: I was asked to assess Pres. Von der Leyen’s proposals on the energy crisis | Sharing hardships fairly is the key to unity. September 14, 2022
- Al Jazeera’s video on my view: “What does Russia’s gas cut mean for Europe?” September 13, 2022
- I’m cited The New York Times | Putin is wielding his gas weapon vs the EU while he still has it. The energy war will be fierce. September 13, 2022
- My Asharq: Russia’s War is driving MENA shortages, inflation & unrest | How Moscow uses “denazification”+”food aid” lies. What can MENA states do? September 6, 2022
- My DW: On OPEC+ decision & the EU’s Russian-gas price cap || AL JAZEERA: I debated Moscow expert on Putin’s try to divide EU on gas. Gemany will never trust Russian energy again; & it is rearming. September 6, 2022
- On Al Jazeera with expert in Moscow | Putin wants a “compromise” for gas. Like what, Donbas? Odessa?- In my view, EU citizens will choose the cold … & their dignity. August 3, 2022
- My Al Jazeera: Russia cuts Latvian gas; but Baltics & Poland prepared, with LNG facilities. German leadership ridiculed them. | Putin is using energy blackmail to fight sanctions imposed on Russia for his Ukraine war. July 30, 2022
- My DW TV: Why Putin cuts EU gas bit-by-bit? Can Germany handle it? Wind’s low, so we’re buring gas! | Many EU states warned Berlin: “Don’t open our door to Putin’s Trojan horse!” July 26, 2022
- Putin cuts Nord Stream1 to 20%. Gas is Moscow’s key economic lever: Exports earn much less than oil & EU needs two-to-four years to replace it | USA-EU should hit Russian oil harder July 25, 2022