My IP JOURNAL article | EU’s “Stress Test” of a Russian gas cutoff: Official optimism?

EC's Gas Stress Test: Would solidarity suffice to cope with any concerted Russian use of gas as a geopolitical weapon?  REUTERS/Wojciech Kardas/Agencja Gazeta

EC’s Gas Stress Test: Could the EU cope with a Russian use of gas as a geopolitical weapon?  REUTERS/Wojciech Kardas/Agencja Gazeta

What if Russia cuts off gas exports to EU states this winter?  This is a very possible means for Russian President Putin to escalate pressure on the EU and USA over the future of Ukraine. What could the EU do? The European Commission has just released the results of a simulation it ordered, involving 38 EU and neighboring states.   Here’s my analysis for the IP Journal of The German Council on Foreign Relations:

Would Solidarity Suffice?  Stress-testing a Russian gas cutoff, the EU may be too optimistic

by Thomas W. O’Donnell

With the actions of Russia’s President Vladimir Putin becoming ever more unpredictable, the EU Energy Stress Test was an important step to prepare for the contingency of a supply stop of Russian gas to Europe. Relying on solidarity and LNG imports, however, may not be enough.  CONTINUE READING AT IP JOURNAL

 

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